African Center for Strategic Research and Public Policy
Sudan Peace Talks: What the Latest Diplomatic Push Can Realistically Achieve
Diplomatic momentum matters, but battlefield incentives remain decisive.
Executive Summary
New diplomatic initiatives may improve humanitarian coordination and reopen political channels, but the conflict’s fragmentation means that a durable settlement will require changes in both military incentives and external support.
New diplomatic initiatives may improve humanitarian coordination and reopen political channels, but the conflict’s fragmentation means that a durable settlement will require changes in both military incentives and external support.
Why It Matters
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Key Strategic Considerations
- Institutional capacity and implementation remain decisive.
- Regional spillovers can be as important as domestic policy choices.
- Financing, infrastructure and political incentives shape long-term outcomes.
What to Watch Next
Future developments should be assessed through the interaction of policy implementation, regional coordination, domestic political economy and the changing international environment.
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